Censusing Animal Populations from Space (CAPS)

Developing a cost-effective, remote sensing-based method for monitoring animal populations from space.caps 2

 

CAPS Timeline

CAPS timeline

CAPS was officially approved by the SOOS SSC in October 2015. A detailed action plan is in development.

 

 

 

 

Overview

Despite being the greatest consumers of krill in the Southern Ocean, our understanding of the status and trends in pack-ice seal populations and their relationship with key habitat characteristics, such as sea-ice, currently represents a major knowledge gap. Until now, it has been too logistically challenging and expensive to conduct regular pack-ice seal surveys at a spatial scale sufficient for assessing their regional-scale abundance and distribution; as a result, pack-ice seals have been largely neglected, with the notable exception of a large international survey of pack-ice seals conducted between 1999-2001 (APIS I). Remote sensing based methods provide a cost-effective approach to monitoring seals that will enable these otherwise elusive data be made available.

This WG contributes not only to the scientific objectives of Theme 6, but also SOOS Objective 2, by advancing the development of cost-effective monitoring approaches to assess changes in Southern Ocean Systems.

Terms of Reference

The APIS II working group will aim to fulfil the following terms of reference over four years:

  1. Hold annual meetings of the working group, and to source funding to enable this;
     
  2. Develop standardised methods that are easily understood by different Antarctic stakeholders, including policy stakeholders, which are repeatable, and easily transferred to other research teams looking to contribute to these surveys;
     
  3. Determine the optimal division of labor to achieve regular continental-scale surveys. One option might be to perform regional assessments that could be combined post-facto into a global assessment. The advantage of this approach is that it naturally accommodates regionally specific approaches that account for differences in satellite coverage, regional climate differences e.g. cloud cover, sea ice conditions, the spatial distribution and composition of the seal assemblages, and the capacity to perform ground truth surveys;
     
  4. Develop analytical/statistical procedures for estimating seal abundance and associated estimates of error, with particular consideration of estimator bias and precision;
     
  5. Establish how population estimates and other products would be delivered to end users such as CCAMLR, SOOS, and SCAR.

Participants

CAPS is a multi-disciplinary team of seal ecologists, remote sensing experts and southern Ocean ecosystem specialists:

Prof Mark Hindell (CAPS Co-Chair; IMAS, AUS)
Dr Peter Fretwell (CAPS Co-Chair; BAS, UK)
Phil Trathan (BAS, UK) Heather Lynch (Stony Brook University, US)
Dan Costa (SOOS, US)
Kit Kovacs (Norwegian Polar Institute, NOR)
Andrew Lowther (Norwegian Polar Institute, NOR)
Andrew Constable (Australian Antarctic Division, AUS)
Colin Southwell (Australian Antarctic Division, AUS)
Bill de la Mare (Australian Antarctic Division, AUS)
Michelle LaRue (University of Minnesota, USA)
Clive McMahon (Integrated Marine Observing System, AUS)

Products and Reports

  1. CAPS Working Group held their first workshop in 2016. The full meeting report is available here

Planned Products and Outcomes

  1. The working group will facilitate the development of tools that enable high resolution satellite images to be used to estimate the numbers of pack-ice seals. Such data are needed for assessing and presenting results of the state of Southern Ocean ecosystems for use by managers. The outputs will be automated algorithms for reliably detecting seals in satellite images. An important aspect of this work will be to assess the algorithms against known presence and absence of seals to provide ground truthing and ultimately measures of estimate uncertainty. We further intend to develop and test the applicability of automated and semi-automated routines using different resolution of VHR imagery. Sampling approaches and recommendations will be made available on the SOOS Web site.
     
  2. Design and implement a cost-effective survey design based on the use of satellite images, to assess the circumpolar status of pack-ice seals. The outputs will be a robust survey design including (a) the number of images needed to sample the region and to minimise uncertainty of the resulting estimates and (b) the spatial sampling arrangement, taking into account the stratified nature of the distribution of pack-ice seals with respect to the continental shelf.
     
  3. If outcomes 1 and 2 are successfully achieved, to assess the state of the krill predator (pack-ice seals) component of the Antarctic marine ecosystem. The last quantitative assessment of crabeater seal numbers was from surveys conducted 15 years ago, so a new assessment will address key questions regarding the trends in seal abundance.
     
  4. To develop a habitat model for pack-ice seals based on seal distribution and physical parameters including sea-ice concentration (taken directly from the images), bathymetry and a suite of derived variables such as age of ice.
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